Merck Stability Calculator

Merck Stability & Shelf Life Calculator

Standard refrigerated (5°C) or room temp (25°C).
The actual temperature during the deviation.
Total time spent at the excursion temperature.
Standard default for pharma is 83.14 (20 kcal/mol).

Analysis Results

Acceleration Factor (AF):

Equivalent Storage Time: hours

Shelf Life Loss: days


Understanding the Merck Stability Calculator

In pharmaceutical manufacturing and distribution, products are often exposed to temperatures outside their labeled storage conditions. This is known as a temperature excursion. The Merck Stability Calculator uses the Arrhenius Equation to determine how much "shelf life" is consumed during these brief periods of heat stress.

How the Calculation Works

Stability calculations rely on the principle that chemical degradation rates increase as temperature rises. The primary formula used is:

k = A * e^(-Ea / RT)

Where:

  • k: Rate constant of degradation.
  • Ea: Activation Energy (typically 70-100 kJ/mol for pharmaceuticals).
  • R: Gas Constant (8.314 J/mol·K).
  • T: Absolute temperature in Kelvin.

Practical Example

Imagine a biologic drug meant to be stored at 5°C. During shipping, a sensor shows it was exposed to 25°C for 24 hours. Using an Activation Energy of 83.14 kJ/mol:

  • The Acceleration Factor would be approximately 10.5.
  • This means 1 hour at 25°C is equivalent to 10.5 hours at 5°C.
  • The 24-hour excursion effectively "used up" 252 hours (10.5 days) of the product's refrigerated shelf life.

Key Terms for Stability Testing

Term Definition
Mean Kinetic Temperature (MKT) A single derived temperature that simulates the non-linear effect of temperature variations over time.
Activation Energy (Ea) The energy barrier that must be overcome for a chemical reaction (degradation) to occur.
Q10 Factor The factor by which the rate of degradation increases for every 10-degree rise in temperature.
function calculateStabilityImpact() { // Retrieve values var storageTempC = parseFloat(document.getElementById('storageTemp').value); var excursionTempC = parseFloat(document.getElementById('excursionTemp').value); var durationHrs = parseFloat(document.getElementById('duration').value); var activationEnergyKJ = parseFloat(document.getElementById('activationEnergy').value); // Validate inputs if (isNaN(storageTempC) || isNaN(excursionTempC) || isNaN(durationHrs) || isNaN(activationEnergyKJ)) { alert("Please enter valid numeric values for all fields."); return; } // Constants var R = 8.31446; // Gas constant in J/(mol·K) var Ea = activationEnergyKJ * 1000; // Convert kJ to J // Convert to Kelvin var T1 = storageTempC + 273.15; var T2 = excursionTempC + 273.15; // Calculation for Acceleration Factor (AF) // Formula: AF = exp( (Ea/R) * (1/T1 – 1/T2) ) var af = Math.exp((Ea / R) * ((1 / T1) – (1 / T2))); // Calculate Equivalent Time var equivalentTimeHrs = durationHrs * af; var shelfLifeLossDays = equivalentTimeHrs / 24; // Update UI document.getElementById('accelerationFactor').innerText = af.toFixed(2); document.getElementById('equivalentTime').innerText = equivalentTimeHrs.toFixed(2); document.getElementById('shelfLifeLoss').innerText = shelfLifeLossDays.toFixed(2); // Verdict logic var verdictElement = document.getElementById('stabilityVerdict'); if (af > 50) { verdictElement.innerText = "Warning: High acceleration factor detected. This excursion significantly impacts product integrity."; verdictElement.style.color = "#d9534f"; } else if (af > 1) { verdictElement.innerText = "Moderate impact. Ensure the total equivalent time does not exceed your product's stability budget."; verdictElement.style.color = "#8a6d3b"; } else { verdictElement.innerText = "Temperature is below storage conditions; stability degradation rate is reduced."; verdictElement.style.color = "#3c763d"; } document.getElementById('stabilityResult').style.display = 'block'; }

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