CAGR Calculator
Understanding CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate
The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is a useful metric for evaluating the performance of an investment or business over a specified period. Unlike simple annual growth, CAGR smooths out the volatility of returns by assuming that the investment grew at a steady rate over the entire period, compounding annually.
What is CAGR?
CAGR represents the average annual growth rate of an investment over a specified period longer than one year, assuming the profits are reinvested at the end of each year. It provides a more accurate picture of an investment's performance than a simple average, especially when returns fluctuate significantly from year to year.
Why is CAGR Important?
- Smoothes Volatility: It provides a single, consistent growth rate, making it easier to understand the overall trend of an investment despite yearly ups and downs.
- Comparison Tool: CAGR allows for easy comparison of different investments over varying time horizons, as it normalizes the growth rate to an annual figure.
- Performance Measurement: It's widely used in finance to measure the performance of mutual funds, portfolios, and even company revenues or profits over several years.
How to Calculate CAGR (The Formula)
The formula for CAGR is:
CAGR = ((Ending Value / Beginning Value)^(1 / Number of Years)) - 1
Where:
- Beginning Value: The initial value of the investment or metric.
- Ending Value: The final value of the investment or metric after the specified period.
- Number of Years: The total duration of the investment or period in years.
Example Calculation
Let's say you invested $10,000 in a stock, and after 5 years, its value grew to $18,000. Using the calculator above, you would input:
- Beginning Value: 10000
- Ending Value: 18000
- Number of Years: 5
The calculation would be:
CAGR = ((18000 / 10000)^(1 / 5)) - 1
CAGR = (1.8^(0.2)) - 1
CAGR = 1.1247 - 1
CAGR = 0.1247
CAGR = 12.47%
This means your investment grew at an average annual rate of 12.47% over the five-year period, assuming annual compounding.
Limitations of CAGR
While powerful, CAGR has its limitations:
- Hypothetical Growth: It assumes a smooth growth path, which rarely happens in real-world investments. It doesn't reflect the actual year-to-year fluctuations.
- Ignores Intermediate Values: CAGR only considers the beginning and ending values, ignoring any peaks or troughs that occurred during the period. An investment could have had significant losses in the middle years but still show a positive CAGR if it recovered by the end.
- Not a Predictor: CAGR is a historical measure and does not predict future performance.
Despite these limitations, CAGR remains a fundamental tool for financial analysis, offering a standardized way to understand and compare investment growth over time.