Fantasy Football Mock Draft Value Calculator
Understanding Your Fantasy Football Mock Draft Value
In fantasy football, a successful draft is often the cornerstone of a championship season. While mock drafts are excellent for practicing strategy, understanding the value of each pick is crucial. This calculator helps you quantify the "value" of a player at your specific draft slot, moving beyond gut feelings to data-driven decisions.
What is Average Draft Position (ADP)?
Average Draft Position (ADP) is a critical metric in fantasy football. It represents the average spot a player is drafted across numerous mock and real drafts. A player with an ADP of 10 is typically drafted as the 10th overall player, while an ADP of 50 means they usually go around the 50th pick. ADP helps you gauge when a player is likely to be available and when you might need to "reach" or can "wait" on them.
The Concept of Draft Value
Draft value isn't just about picking the best player; it's about picking the best player at the right time. If you draft a player significantly earlier than their ADP, it's often considered a "reach." While sometimes necessary for a player you truly covet, it means you passed on other players who were likely better values at that pick. Conversely, if you draft a player significantly later than their ADP, you've found a "value pick" – getting a player who typically goes earlier, thus maximizing your team's talent.
How This Calculator Works
Our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Value Calculator takes into account several factors to give you a quantitative "Draft Value Score":
- Player's Average Draft Position (ADP): The consensus ranking of where a player is typically drafted.
- Your Current Draft Pick (Overall): Your specific pick number in the draft.
- Player's Positional Tier: Players are grouped into tiers (Elite, High-End, Mid-Tier, Low-End, Deep Sleeper) to reflect their perceived talent and scarcity. Drafting an elite player later than their ADP is a bigger value than drafting a low-end player later.
- League Size (Teams): The number of teams in your league impacts player scarcity. A value pick in a 14-team league might be more impactful than in an 8-team league due to fewer available players.
The calculator determines if you are picking a player earlier or later than their ADP and then adjusts this difference based on their positional tier and your league's size. A positive Draft Value Score indicates a good value pick, while a negative score suggests a reach.
Examples of Using the Calculator:
Let's consider a 12-team league:
- Finding a Value Pick:
- Player's ADP: 20
- Your Current Draft Pick: 28
- Positional Tier: Tier 2 (High-End)
- League Size: 12
- Result: You are getting this player 8 picks later than their ADP, indicating a strong value pick. Your calculated Draft Value Score might be around +9.60. This suggests you've found a player who fell further than expected.
- Identifying a Reach:
- Player's ADP: 40
- Your Current Draft Pick: 30
- Positional Tier: Tier 3 (Mid-Tier)
- League Size: 12
- Result: You are getting this player 10 picks earlier than their ADP, which is considered a 'reach'. Your calculated Draft Value Score might be around -10.00. This indicates you might have passed on better value players.
- An On-Value Pick:
- Player's ADP: 60
- Your Current Draft Pick: 60
- Positional Tier: Tier 3 (Mid-Tier)
- League Size: 12
- Result: You are getting this player exactly at their ADP. Your calculated Draft Value Score will be 0.00. This is a solid pick, neither a steal nor a reach.
Use this calculator during your mock drafts to refine your strategy, identify potential steals, and avoid costly reaches, ultimately building a more competitive fantasy football team.